Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.2%
Sp Lisbon
20.8%
Draw
16.0%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Sp Lisbon
vs
0.81
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.5%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).