Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Ternana
29.0%
Draw
42.6%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Ternana
vs
1.41
Como
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).