Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Boston Utd
29.8%
Draw
18.8%
Braintree Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Boston Utd
vs
0.73
Braintree Town
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
13.1%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).