Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.3%
Whitstable Town
18.4%
Draw
16.3%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Whitstable Town
vs
1.03
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.542.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
3-0
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
4.0%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).