Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.7%
Lokomotiv Moskva
18.9%
Draw
12.4%
Orenburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Lokomotiv Moskva
vs
0.99
Orenburg
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.6%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
6.8%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).