Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Braintree Town
32.7%
Draw
35.3%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Braintree Town
vs
1.05
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.1%
0-1
12.5%
1-0
11.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).