Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Augsburg
27.2%
Draw
20.5%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Augsburg
vs
0.89
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-0
10.5%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).