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23 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.9%
Dorking
21.6%
Draw
66.4%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Dorking

vs
2.01

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.9%
0-1
12.0%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.7%
0-0
7.2%
1-3
6.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
1-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).