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AHT: 02CSV

18 Apr 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.4%
Bristol Rvs
19.3%
Draw
66.3%
Sheffield Weds

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Bristol Rvs

vs
1.93

Sheffield Weds

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.528.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
0-4
4.0%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).