Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
Numancia
24.0%
Draw
43.0%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Numancia
vs
1.60
Almeria
Markets
BTTS59.5%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.1%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.0%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).