Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.7%
Charlton
19.4%
Draw
14.9%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Charlton
vs
0.76
Burton
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
2-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
6.0%
0-0
6.0%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).