Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Grimsby
27.1%
Draw
20.1%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Grimsby
vs
0.90
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).