Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Avellino
26.1%
Draw
55.4%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Avellino
vs
1.70
Parma
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).