Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.4%
RB Leipzig
22.6%
Draw
19.0%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
RB Leipzig
vs
1.09
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).