Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Lens
29.2%
Draw
31.4%
Orleans
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Lens
vs
0.89
Orleans
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
0-1
14.0%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).