Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Chesterfield
24.6%
Draw
30.4%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Chesterfield
vs
1.18
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).