Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.5%
Frosinone
23.2%
Draw
14.3%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Frosinone
vs
0.82
Benevento
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.7%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).