Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Cagliari
29.3%
Draw
14.0%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Cagliari
vs
0.58
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
0-0
14.6%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
4-0
2.3%
2-2
2.3%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).