Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.0%
Lille
15.5%
Draw
11.5%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Lille
vs
0.92
Metz
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.567.4%
Over 3.545.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.7%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.1%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-2
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).