Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.3%
Leverkusen
18.4%
Draw
11.4%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Leverkusen
vs
0.87
Hertha
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).