Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Frosinone
27.9%
Draw
19.1%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Frosinone
vs
0.84
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
13.0%
2-0
11.0%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).