Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Hull
23.5%
Draw
26.4%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Hull
vs
1.39
Leicester
Markets
BTTS65.5%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
3-0
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
0-0
4.3%
0-1
4.0%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).