Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.7%
Alessandria
26.6%
Draw
48.6%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Alessandria
vs
1.66
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).