Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.0%
St. Gilloise
24.7%
Draw
12.3%
Charleroi
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
St. Gilloise
vs
0.60
Charleroi
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.5%
2-0
14.4%
1-1
10.9%
0-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
8.1%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).