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18 Jan 2026 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.0%
Gent
23.8%
Draw
43.1%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Gent

vs
1.74

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS64.5%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-1
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).