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14 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.8%
Forest Green
22.1%
Draw
15.1%
Wealdstone

Expected Goals (xG)

2.05

Forest Green

vs
0.92

Wealdstone

Markets

BTTS53.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
0-1
3.9%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).