Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.6%
Galatasaray
21.2%
Draw
13.2%
Trabzonspor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Galatasaray
vs
1.11
Trabzonspor
Markets
BTTS63.2%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.548.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
3-0
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.7%
4-0
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).