Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.5%
Newport County
23.6%
Draw
49.8%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Newport County
vs
1.62
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).