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28 Apr 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.8%
Alanyaspor
29.9%
Draw
18.2%
Umraniyespor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.68

Alanyaspor

vs
0.95

Umraniyespor

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
2-0
10.2%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-1
3.9%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).