Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.6%
Sunderland
31.4%
Draw
59.0%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35
Sunderland
vs
1.25
Burnley
Markets
BTTS21.5%
Over 0.579.1%
Over 1.548.0%
Over 2.521.5%
Over 3.57.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
24.7%
0-0
20.9%
0-2
15.8%
1-1
9.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
0-4
2.0%
2-1
1.5%
2-0
1.2%
2-2
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).