Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.7%
Napoli
20.8%
Draw
15.5%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Napoli
vs
0.83
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).