Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Bologna
25.3%
Draw
29.1%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Bologna
vs
1.14
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).