Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Dover Athletic
28.9%
Draw
40.3%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Dover Athletic
vs
1.36
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).