Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Rio Ave
29.3%
Draw
39.0%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Rio Ave
vs
1.30
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).