Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Belenenses
28.0%
Draw
34.1%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Belenenses
vs
1.06
Vizela
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).