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14 Dec 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.8%
Halifax
27.6%
Draw
23.6%
King’s Lynn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Halifax

vs
1.00

King’s Lynn

Markets

BTTS50.8%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).