Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
Lincoln
19.4%
Draw
19.9%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Lincoln
vs
1.06
Reading
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-1
9.0%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
0-0
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).