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22 Mar 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.7%
Notts County
17.4%
Draw
11.8%
Boreham Wood

Expected Goals (xG)

2.57

Notts County

vs
0.99

Boreham Wood

Markets

BTTS58.8%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.569.1%
Over 3.547.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.8%
1-0
6.7%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.6%
0-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).