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17 Sept 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.6%
Norwich
26.3%
Draw
20.1%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Norwich

vs
0.91

West Brom

Markets

BTTS49.1%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).