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27 Jan 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.4%
Alanyaspor
29.5%
Draw
15.1%
Pendikspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.70

Alanyaspor

vs
0.82

Pendikspor

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).