Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
Reggina
28.9%
Draw
24.2%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Reggina
vs
0.98
Spal
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.0%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).