Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.8%
Huesca
25.3%
Draw
44.9%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Huesca
vs
1.50
Malaga
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).