Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Aston Villa
25.2%
Draw
19.5%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Aston Villa
vs
1.06
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).