Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Ponferradina
30.6%
Draw
34.9%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Ponferradina
vs
1.00
Leganes
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-0
13.6%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).