Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.9%
Benfica
7.8%
Draw
3.2%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
3.22
Benfica
vs
0.50
Vizela
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.551.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.5%
2-0
12.6%
4-0
10.9%
1-0
8.0%
5-0
7.0%
3-1
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
4-1
5.4%
1-1
3.7%
5-1
3.5%
0-0
2.3%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).