Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Hoffenheim
23.0%
Draw
31.6%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Hoffenheim
vs
1.63
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS69.8%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.548.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
5.7%
2-0
5.3%
1-0
4.7%
3-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
0-1
3.8%
0-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).