Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Everton
30.2%
Draw
25.1%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Everton
vs
1.01
Leeds
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).