Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.5%
Hamburg
11.3%
Draw
5.2%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
3.18
Hamburg
vs
0.77
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.575.4%
Over 3.555.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
4-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
4-1
6.3%
1-0
5.7%
5-0
5.2%
1-1
5.2%
5-1
4.0%
3-2
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).