Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Tranmere
23.4%
Draw
29.0%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Tranmere
vs
1.22
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).