Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Extremadura UD
24.8%
Draw
22.6%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Extremadura UD
vs
0.95
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).